THE EVIL THAT MEN ( AND GOVERNMENTS ) DO LIVES AFTER THEM…….
The run up to the 2024 elections has begun. Motivated
pre-poll surveys are popping up everywhere and confuse us on a daily basis, the Opposition has formed the
I.N.D.I.A alliance whose future looks as precarious as that of the country it
is named after, the BJP’s own 38 party alliance (not including the ED [Enforcement directorate], CBI [Central Bureau of Investigation] and
IT [Income Tax Dept.) appears to be more F.I.R based than ideology based, Rahul Gandhi is
girding up his loins and sneakers for Bharat Jodo Yatra 2, Mr. Modi has already
declared himself a winner in 2024, and the Supreme Court has just made his job
easier by giving the redoubtable Mr. Mishra of the Enforcement Directorate another extension of
45 days. The “satta” bazaar, our indigenous political stock exchange, has not
yet started giving odds on the winner, but the nation is in for a tough time
even if the opposition alliance were to form the government. Let us consider
some of the implications if this last possibility were to come true.
Every predecessor government invariably leaves behind some
desiderata that the succeeding regime has to clear up. But what the NDA (National Democratic Alliance) will
bequeath is a veritable mountain of debris, not only in metaphorical terms, but
also in terms of demolished houses, mosques, laws, basic rights, unemployed youth, forests and
cars under the scrapping scheme. Removing this debris to revert to the status quo ante
will be no less arduous than the twelve labours of Hercules or asking the Chinese to revert to the pre Galwan days. The danger,
however, is that the new government may not want to reverse some of the NDA’s
disastrous contributions to our shaky democracy! Let me explain this peculiar dilemma with reference to two observed phenomena.
First, in the last ten years the NDA has knocked federalism
out of the ball park like a Babe Ruth homerun. It has done so by the coercive use of central regulatory
agencies like the ED, CBI, NIA (National Investigative Agency) and Central Armed Police Forces, the creative mis-use of Governors, the unholy
exercise of executive discretion through institutions like the Reserve Bank of
India and Finance Commissions, amendments of rules to subvert and intimidate
the All India Services, arm twisting the judiciary to have its way in intruding on state territory, figuratively and physically.
Second, Constitutional and autonomous institutions- the
Election Commission; various Commissions relating to human rights, women,
scheduled caste and tribal welfare; Regulatory Authorities; Universities and
other education related Councils; Union Public Service Commission, banks - have all been packed with fellow
travellers of the ruling ideology and have been brought to heel. They serve the interests of the hegemonic ruling party, not the citizens of the country, ensuring it continues to have a stranglehold on power from which dislodging it becomes almost impossible.
This twin-track policy has made it easy for any ruling
dispensation to impose its ideology and policies on the entire country, even to
insidiously shape the future. The NDA has done all the dirty work in developing
this template- will the new dispensation be able to resist the temptation to
forego this power? Will it be tempted to continue these policies to keep the
BJP, in turn, at bay? The temptation to do so would be great; the saving grace could be that a coalition government would be inimical to practices that tend to centralise power.
It may not be easy going even where the new government wishes
to roll back some of the more pernicious elements of the present regime. Take
those three pillars of administration: the civil services, the police and the
judiciary. All three have been corroded to the point where they bow to the dictats of the ruling party and not that of the Constitution or the rule of law.
The civil services, state and central, especially in the cow
belt, have drunk deep of the majoritarian potion and have begun believing in
the insidious narrative of Hindu rashtra, a Vishwaguru super power, a
plutocracy driven economy, putting the minorities in their place, the erosion
of rights as a necessary concomitant to “progress”. (Remember Mr. Amitabh Kant's "too much democracy" obiter dictum?) Being a member of various
IAS groups, I can see this happening before my eyes. These are the bureaucrats
of Amritkaal, not Patel’s India. Can they be re-programmed by a new
dispensation?
The police, under the present regime, have only reaffirmed
their status as the last potent vestiges of colonialism, whether it be in JNU (Jawahar Lal University), AMU (Aligarh Muslim University), Kathua, Hathras, Bhima Koregaon, Manipur or a score of other places. Their
disregard of laws, rights, empathy and even orders of the courts has been
encouraged by the governments of the day and reluctance of the judiciary to
assert itself. They have become a power unto themselves: is it possible to rein
them back now?
The judiciary has more or less regressed back into the ADM
Jabalpur days; it barks quite often but will not bite; as Alexander Pope said: willing to wound but
afraid to strike. It flatters to deceive but in all seminal matters so far –
Article 370, Places of Worship Act, Electoral bonds, EVMs, UAPA (Unlawful Activities Prevention Act) detentions, habeas corpus, Manipur, extension of service of the ED Director, misuse of Money Bills, - its
pronouncements and lack of firm action only appears to have helped the
government, not the common citizen. I can’t explain why this should be so: if
it is intimidation, surveillance and pressure, perhaps a new government can cure the rot; but
if it is the same sneaking sympathy which the civil services have acquired for
the ethno-majoritarian ideology then any new government has its job cut out.
However, the biggest challenge before any new government
shall be: how to roll back the clock on the uncaring monster that Indian
society has become in these last nine years? We have become a brutalised
civilisation, under the tutelage of a government that lacks any modicum of
compassion, whether it be for a victim of rape, murder or communal lynching;
for the tribal evicted from his forests to enable an industrialist to make a
few more billions; for the girl child denied an education because she wants to
wear a hijab; for the marginalised landless labourer who cannot get the benefits
of PDS (Public Distribution System) or MNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Guarantee Act) because he doesn’t possess an Aadhar card; for the families
evicted from “encroached” lands where they have been residing for decades; for the petty criminal or accused whose house is bulldozed to rubble without sanction of any law. It
is an endless list of the suffering who no longer exist for India’s elite, middle
classes and what Ravish Kumar calls “ housing society uncles”. We displayed
this in full measure when we threw out the migrants from our cities during
Covid, when we fail to show the same level of outrage at the rape and murder of
tribal women in Manipur as we had so heroically displayed during the Nirbhaya
episode. This civilisational regression of the last nine years has to be
reversed by any new dispensation, for a society which lacks compassion for the poor and marginalised
is not fertile ground for the growth of democratic values and the egalitarian
spirit. This, however, is easier said than done, for it requires a towering paragon of moral leadership which the country sorely lacks.
There will be much more of the inequity and malevolence that a new regime will
have to contend with and vanquish- laws that have demolished our rights, despoiling of the natural environment, blatant infringement on privacy, amendments to UAPA and Forest
Conservation Act, the Data Protection Bill, the Delhi ordinance, Information
Technology Act, CAA (Citizenship Amendment Act) and NRC (National Register of Citizens), to mention just a few. Thousands of dissidents will have to be released from jails. The armed forces will have
to be freed from the shackles of a creeping ideological takeover (with, of
course, the spineless acquiescence of its top brass who cannot see beyond the
next star on their epaulettes) which is chipping away at their glorious
traditions and espirit de corps. The media, currently a lifeless corpse which
gives off more stench than news, will have to be resurrected and allowed to
function without fear, favour or financial preference. Some of their hate-spewing anchors will have to be prosecuted for inciting communal animosity over the years. There will be truth and reconciliation, but there should also be accountability and punishment.
And then there are also the various financial transactions, disinvestment of PSUs (public Service Undertakings) at throw-away prices, the bad loans of Rs. 12.50 lakh crores incurred by banks during the nine years of NDA rule to oblige powerful cronies, contracts, awards, tenders- of airports, seaports, slum improvements, highways, defence purchases, mines, power projects- crying out for inquiry and investigation. There is a veritable dog’s breakfast awaiting any new, non-BJP government, if at all any such dispensation can come into being in spite of the odds stacked against it. It will need a strong digestion to ingest this smorgasbord of misgovernance, brutality and religious fanaticism. But perhaps I am getting too far ahead of myself, for the question hanging in the air is: Will all this ever come to pass? I don't really know but, as the poet said:
" Humko maalum hai
Jannat ki Haqeeqat
lekin
Dil ko behlaane ko, Ghalib,
Yeh khayaal achha hai !"
[ I am not unaware
Of the reality of the universe,
But
This fantasy, Ghalib, will serve
To comfort your heart.]
Dear Shuklaji,
ReplyDeleteFirstly I must thank Prem Panicker whose musings on his blog introduced me to yours. Am grateful. Your articulation, your grasp of the political shenanigans and the general decaying moral fibre of our junglee society, because we really are uncivilized, hit a home run, each time every time. I have nothing of note to add, as you have expressed everything that is true. Nothing gives me hope, just filled with despair and being a woman, I fear being that in this uncouth, baying-for-blood country. Every say is disturbing and I think of that series Layla, adapted from an eponymous book, and it seems more and more real and nauseating. There used to be a time when people used to say, you're lucky to have been born in this sacred land. Now all I can do is pray that God delivers us all from these Sacred Games that our political masters are playing. Please keep writing and sharing your views. Thank you and be well.
I am commenting based on reality of my immediate environment, West Bengal. I do not disagree with your observations in that the crap preceding 2014 when this junta came to power was as confusing to us citizens. Conversely what IF this BJP, by some stroke of imagination, comes to power in West Bengal? Your apprehensions, point by point and para by para, match the scene here also? It is worth reflecting if the higher brain powers of Indian politicians remain dysfunctional, then all will be perpetually lost due to the 'loss of horse shoe nail'. Worth reflecting. Has this country gone for a total toss? What i mean is the contradictions in our hegemonic rulers shall sustain or shall we be finally relieved by mass extinction as we roll on? You write so well indeed to stimulate...
ReplyDeleteThe crap has always been there starting with the murky partition, the first of zillion other amendments that followed and the depravity of the ruling class regardless of political affiliations. I recall my last years in service in Delhi when everything was up for sale and MMS called it coalition dharma. While I agree we need to complain like overladen camels we need to step back and see how far we have come from 1947. For all its faults Independent India has pulled through survived an emergency & should outlast the NDA and I.N.D.I.A too. 2+1 cheers to India:)
ReplyDeleteRs. 12.5 L crores of bad loans in banks originated in UPA era, when "phone banking" was in vogue.
ReplyDeleteTo my mind, the most worrying development is the deepening Hindu – Muslim / Christian divide that gets worse by the day. I wonder if the damage that is being deliberately inflicted can be arrested, leave alone reversed by any new dispensation, if that were to ever happen. In a way, all of us are to blame to let the slide happen in the first place. For a huge, unthinking but educated, largely urban well-meaning Hindu majority, this latent acquiescence to rabid antiminority-ism, dismissed (less and less) as lunacy of the Fringe, but not spoken out against, is happening also because very few of us have Muslim friends and especially Muslim family friends. In my long years of All India service including decades on deputation in various parts of the country, I have known very few Muslim colleagues, as acquaintances, not friends and have hardly ever been inside their homes. Group interaction with Muslim colleagues tend to be posting loud, “Eid Mubarak” messages among WhatsApp groups! As it is, there is hardly a Muslim middle class to mention, and the few that do manage to scale the age-old boundary walls of cultural - historical animosity, rarely find owners willing to rent out a flat to them. This ‘divide’ appears stark across urban India. Is it any wonder why Muslims live in ghettos? How, can we empathise with or raise a voice for people we don’t know or refuse to know? Even visit.
ReplyDeleteAvay Shukla's caveat about outgoing regimes and their pernicious influences on the policies of succeeding ones, is an excursion back to the future. A forewarning whose time is ten months distant, if it happens to come at all.
ReplyDeleteHis preordainment, contingent on a future election, is neither fatuous nor fanciful. Every dispensation leaves its political flotsam behind when it disembarks. This regime - if ousted by electoral mandate - will abandon mountains of insidious ideological debris that has already soiled our social, cultural and political fabric, perhaps irreversibly. The RSS and later the Jan Sangh picked up the malefic narrative of divide and rule strewn by the British when they left India, to strategically keep communities apart with religious hate. Like Indira Gandhi, Modi exhibits autocratic tendencies which he probably found delectable in her political leftovers and ingested them to turn the nation into an intolerant partial democracy.
These "left-behinds" are the drags that Mr. Shukla lists in his spiel while leaning upon the premise that the I.N.D.I.A alliance will successfully derail Modi and his hurtling Hindutva train. If that happens, his penetrative blog comes out from its cocoon of fantasy to morphose into a preemptive dossier against political turpitude. For now it is the cart with its wheels, wagon and harness placed before the horse. And therefore, one is uncertain if the liberty granted to Ghalib is extendable to Avay Shukla.
You are dead wrong, Mr Sahu, with your defense of the indefensible. Rs. 12.50 crore is the figure for the Modi regime, as per the FM's reply in Parliament to a question by Jawhar Sircar of the TMC. Bad loans as a percentage of total bank loans, which was about 4 percent in UPA has gone up to 12 percent now. Please read Jawhar Sircar's detailed article in the WIRE instead of trotting out the same old alibis.
ReplyDeleteTypo correction: in second line please read," Rs. 12.50 lakh crore,' instead of 12.50 crore.
ReplyDeleteBeing an Armed Forces veteran I share Avay's dismay at the increasing ideological twisting of senior leadership thoughts.My interactions with some serving ranks and file indicate disappointment(actually disgust)at the so-called 'de-colonisation of Services customs and traditions.Armed Forces will be left to engage in internal security tasks only.Promugating ' disturbed areas' will increasingly bring out failures of governance and administration.Do we need to look beyond Manipur or Nuh!AGONY VEERs could easily and over time become ideal candidates for a home grown Wagner Group and even politically led feudal militias
ReplyDeleteInteresting. As usual an assessment from comfort zone. "May be' or "May not be."
ReplyDeleteOnly time will tell, if at all such an opportunity the voters will give to I.N.D.I.A .And if so certainly the the coming powers will retain dynamics othat suits them and helps in cementing their controls.
That we live in dangerous times has been not just apparent, having been blatantly and overtly thrust down our throats leaving those (a shrinking community) with their head screwed on right, gagging and wanting to throw up.
ReplyDeleteDoes not need a genius to understand that India today = Germany 1934.
Have now reached the point where I ask myself that, instead of simply sharing my fears with the clutch of friends who are in the same leaky boat desperately trying to keep the boat from getting swamped, what can or SHOULD I do?
Any gyan, from any quarter, on this fundamental question/fear would be most welcome.
The extent of bad loans discovered during the current regime had origin prior to 2014. Loans to businesses do not become NPA overnight. It takes 10-12 years for the bad loans to get recognised and written off. Initially, banks try to restructure loans to give the borrowers time to recover from business slump and then repay the loans.
ReplyDeleteBank officials hide bad investment in clever accounting. During the current regime, all banks were forced to bring bad loans to surface and recognise losses therefrom. PSU banks have recovered from the disastrous lending spree during the UPA rule and have gradually cleaned up their act. This year, these banks will report profit of around Rs.1.5 lakh crore.
Even Jawhar Sircar has stated that some loans could have originated in UPA time and that it takes many years for loans to become bad and irrecoverable.
Take the example of one of the fraudsters who fled abroad. Nirav Modi obtained his first loan from PNB’s Brady House branch in Mumbai on March 2011, by using a fraudulent letter of undertaking (LOU). He managed to get 1,212 more such guarantees over the next 74 months. During these six years, he never repaid the initial loan and instead used new LOUs to pay off the previous ones. This created a complex web of deception that siphoned off Rs 14,000 crore from PNB. The scam was unearthed on January 25, 2018, when PNB submitted a fraud report to the RBI. Nirav Modi fled India in 2018 to evade the law and is currently in prison in London facing extradition proceedings.
10 to 12 years for a bad loan is laughable . Most banks don’t take large exposures beyond 5 years except for infrastructure . Npa are based overdues in months not years . You clearly are not a banker . Pls don’t defend the NPA disaster by trying to disguise it as a pre 2014 loan issue :
DeleteVijay Mallya's loans that eventually turned into non-performing assets (NPAs) were taken over a span of several years. His financial troubles, particularly related to Kingfisher Airlines and other ventures, led to these loans becoming NPAs. Some of the key years during which he took large bank loans before they became NPAs include:
Delete2005-2006: During this period, Kingfisher Airlines was launched, and Mallya took loans to fund the airline's operations and expansion.
2007-2008: Kingfisher Airlines continued to expand, and Mallya's companies took additional loans to support their operations.
2009-2010: Financial difficulties began to surface for Kingfisher Airlines, leading to increased loan defaults and financial stress.
2011-2012: Kingfisher Airlines faced severe financial challenges, and Mallya struggled to infuse capital into the airline.
2013-2014: The financial condition of Kingfisher Airlines deteriorated further, leading to loan defaults and banks classifying loans as NPAs.
2015-2016: The situation escalated, and Mallya left India amid mounting pressure from creditors and legal proceedings.
# nirav modi, mehul choksi, took advantage of the failure of PNB to implement mandatory systems controls; the lacunae were known to the two PNB employees at its brady house branch, and letters of understanding were provided to the fraudsters that bypassed CORE banking system computers and went via SWIFT protocols. margin money requirements were ignored. in short, there was no over-sight, verification of documents, parallel confirmations, threshold limits. the system leaked like a sieve. surely it would be unfair to blame arunbhai, nirmalabehn, narendrabhai, even though the fraud continued for four years during their watch. ditto the earlier, previous government. and to club the fraud as another instance of the epidemic of bad-loans, non performing assets, and similar shenanigans that are associated with the politics of business, government banks symbiosis in our country would be promiscuously casuistic.
ReplyDeletehttps://youtu.be/BRpSu6cTxmc - here's an interesting little interview from Nepal that you guys might enjoy watching.
ReplyDeleteI have two reiterations to make. (i) We have to pool in all resourcces in order to do the right thing by the country - we have had 75 years of match prqactice and we know certain parts of the Constitution have not ensured protection from opportunism, autocratic depredation and the unfair representation in Parliament. This is the time to change that. How that can be achieved is to be worked on and thought out and sold.
(ii) INDIA has been gifted an opportunity to show up an uncaring, indifferent government, full of nefarious purpose and the unreal temerity to win an election by every crooked manner possible and then not really give a damn if people live or die or careers go bust or whatever. This type of arrogant functioning leaves huge gaps in functionality that can be filled. In the civil society realms of yesteryear NGOs stepped into the breach to do what government would not or could not. The situation in Manipur is asking for INDIA to fill the breach. It is a chance to show us all what concerted activism and the will to serve and work selflessly can mean. It's also a great opportunity to Jodo Bharat even more cohesively.
For related points please consider and discuss and see what can be done and how. And those of you of high office, earlier or now, you may please use your not inconsiderable influence to take the conversation to the right people who can and do effect change. We cannot live by hope alone. There are solutions - you have them, each of you; I have them and others as well. Pool in. Let's see where it takes us. At least we would have tried.
Suffer this aside as inspiration - Playing For Change is a multimedia music project co-founded in 2002, featuring 150 street musicians and singers from across the globe, for the benefit of disadvantaged children.The producers filmed and recorded musicians as they teravelled to 25 developing countries including Nepal, Pakistan and India. PFC now has the some of the biggest names in contemporary music including Carlos Santana, Keith Richards, Mermans Mosengo, Zakir Hussain & Shiv Kumar Sharma, to name but a few, who are full fledged music partners combining their talents to create what has become a global phenomena with millions of follwers across the world & more than 40 million views on YouTube alone.The Foundation builds music and art schools for children around the world.
(extracted from the Net & chopped & changed by me)
E & OE please.
ReplyDeleteHmmm- frightfully like the Germany
ReplyDeleteof the 1930's ??
Those who fail to learn from the past are doomed to repeat it.
(George Santana)
Hitler never won a national election.
DeleteHitler didn't win the parliamentary elections like you would in a winner-take-all system like in the US. But the Nazis did become the largest party
DeleteAvay has put all the cards (issues) on the table face up, and by the plethora of comments above, it appears that there is still hope for the nation, despite the ruination of Institutions built up painfully in the last seven decades. While I agree with Avay on most of the issues presented in this weeks blog, I am particularly concerned with how the last bastion of the nation, the policy makers and policy keepers of the armed forces appear to have climbed on the band wagon of the Darbari Culture. It is not that we did not have authoritarian political leaders in the past, but the hierarchy of the armed forces had stood firm on its commitment to the Constitution and the rule of law. They had character of a high order. I am particularly concerned with the increasing number of misguided military personnel, particularly veterans, who seem to have abandoned the righteous path and seemingly succumbed! We must not let this happen and despite the gloomy scenario, I am hopeful that ultimately ethical morality and love for the nation will prevail.
ReplyDeletehttps://youtu.be/lfusdOOxTMA
ReplyDeleteI could weep.